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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 5, 2024 at 11.45pm UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 0
Santos Laguna

Cavallini (90+6' pen.)
Waller (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunez (45+1'), Echeverria (49'), Cervantes (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Liga MX clash between Puebla and Santos Laguna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 1-2 America
Saturday, April 27 at 2am in Liga MX

We said: Puebla 1-2 Santos Laguna

Puebla were the worst side in the top flight in the second half of the season and have not made many significant signings to suggest that a complete turnaround in performance is likely here. Indeed Santos were far form their best during the run-in last term, but they certainly had more firepower than the hosts and we feel they will get the season off to a winning start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
PueblaDrawSantos Laguna
31.56% (-1.039 -1.04) 23.76% (-0.343 -0.34) 44.68% (1.382 1.38)
Both teams to score 60.79% (0.768 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (1.205 1.21)41.11% (-1.206 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (1.217 1.22)63.5% (-1.217 -1.22)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)25.25% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)60% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (1.077 1.08)18.67% (-1.078 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.99% (1.779 1.78)50.01% (-1.779 -1.78)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 31.56%
    Santos Laguna 44.68%
    Draw 23.75%
PueblaDrawSantos Laguna
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.56%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.113 0.11)
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.232 0.23)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.174 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.155 0.16)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.166 0.17)
0-4 @ 1.56% (0.122 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 44.68%

How you voted: Puebla vs Santos Laguna

Puebla
47.4%
Draw
10.5%
Santos Laguna
42.1%
19
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2024 3am
Gameweek 4
Santos Laguna
3-0
Puebla
Preciado (65' pen.), Carrillo (73'), Vergara (90')
Cervantes (26'), Preciado (45+2')

Ferrareis (28'), Velasco (44'), Olmedo (90+1')
Jul 8, 2023 2am
Gameweek 2
Puebla
2-3
Santos Laguna
Mancuello (2'), Angulo (38')
Martinez (8'), Arce (9'), Robles (17'), Angulo (45'), Ivan Rodriguez (45+8'), Garcia Banuelos (45+6')
Preciado (26', 45+9'), Brunetta (77')
Aquino (65'), Campos (82')
Feb 27, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 9
Santos Laguna
3-2
Puebla
Preciado (33'), Brunetta (45+2' pen., 52')
Fernandez (77'), Martinez (90' pen.)
Jul 9, 2022 3.05am
Mar 19, 2022 3am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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