Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.