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Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Feb 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
2 - 0
Atletico San Luis

Meneses (12'), Gonzalez (34')
Ruiz (51'), Navarro (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dourado (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atletico San Luis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-5 Toluca
Friday, February 24 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Atletico San Luis

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, February 18 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
57.97% (0.101 0.1) 21.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 20.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.15% (0.023000000000003 0.02)42.84% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.25% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (0.039999999999992 0.04)14.51% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (0.076999999999998 0.08)42.52% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)35.12% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)71.87% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 57.97%
    Atletico San Luis 20.12%
    Draw 21.91%
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.5% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.95% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 57.97%
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.12%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
Atletico San Luis
1-0
Toluca
Murillo (45+3')
Gonzalez (61'), (90+6'), (90+7')

Sierra (65')
Feb 12, 2022 11pm
Atletico San Luis
0-1
Toluca

Juarez (3'), Waller (45+5')
Sanvezzo (4')
Garcia (13')
Rigonato Rodrigues (45+4')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Toluca
1-2
Atletico San Luis
Gonzalez (45' pen.)
Rigonato Rodrigues (45+3'), Torres (88'), Chavez (90+1')
Berterame (24' pen., 39')
Lozano (20'), Waller (90+4'), Waller (90+4')
Mar 6, 2021 1.30am
Atletico San Luis
0-0
Toluca

Chavez (45+1')

Barbieri (35'), Baeza (59'), Castaneda (63')
Aug 2, 2020 6pm
Toluca
3-2
Atletico San Luis
Estrada (7'), Canelo (28', 49')
Guemez (17'), Medina (24'), Sauro (48'), Maidana (82')
Berterame (12'), Ibanez (59' pen.)
Sanchez (41'), Ibanez (75'), Mayada (89'), Berterame (90+2'), Pineda (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1513113692740
2TolucaToluca1595133141932
3Tigres159332213930
4MonterreyMonterrey168442418628
5Atletico San Luis158252518726
6PumasPumas157441813525
7Club TijuanaTijuana157442123-225
8Club AmericaAmerica157352516924
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara156452214822
10Atlas155551521-620
11Club Leon153842021-117
12PueblaPuebla1642101629-1314
13NecaxaNecaxa153481925-613
14PachucaPachuca153481926-713
15MazatlanMazatlan152761018-813
16Juarez1541102035-1513
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna152491025-1510
18QueretaroQueretaro1523101027-179
> Liga MX Full Table


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