Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Feb 20, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
Pachuca1 - 2Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-3 Pachuca
Friday, February 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Friday, February 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, February 12 at 6pm in Liga MX
Sunday, February 12 at 6pm in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pachuca | Draw | Toluca |
62.57% ( 0.73) | 20.47% ( -0.28) | 16.96% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 54.39% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.61% ( 0.5) | 41.39% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.22% ( 0.5) | 63.78% ( -0.5) |
Pachuca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.34% ( 0.36) | 12.66% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.19% ( 0.75) | 38.81% ( -0.75) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.27% ( -0.22) | 37.73% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.49% ( -0.22) | 74.5% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Pachuca 62.57%
Toluca 16.96%
Draw 20.47%
Pachuca | Draw | Toluca |
2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.47% Total : 62.57% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.25% Total : 16.96% |
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2022 1.36am
Pachuca
3-1
Toluca
Lopez (21')
Lopez (11')
Lopez (11')
Oct 28, 2022 2.06am
Toluca
1-5
Pachuca
Sierra (78')
Mar 13, 2022 6pm
Sep 14, 2021 3am
Pachuca
1-2
Toluca
Gonzalez (32'), Rigonato Rodrigues (89')
Ortega (45+2')
Ortega (45+2')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 27 | 42 |
2 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 35 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 34 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 31 |
5 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 30 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 29 |
8 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 25 |
10 | Atlas | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
11 | Club Leon | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 17 |
13 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 14 |
15 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 14 |
16 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 |
17 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 10 |
> Liga MX Full Table |
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