Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Aug 18, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-3 Toluca
Sunday, August 14 at 11pm in Liga MX
Sunday, August 14 at 11pm in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Tigres | 8 | 5 | 18 |
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Monterrey
Saturday, August 13 at 3am in Liga MX
Saturday, August 13 at 3am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Tigres | 8 | 5 | 18 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Monterrey |
30.1% ( -0) | 25.15% ( -0) | 44.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( 0.01) | 48.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% ( 0.01) | 70.22% ( -0) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( 0) | 29.65% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.31% ( 0) | 65.69% ( -0) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( 0) | 21.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.47% ( 0.01) | 54.53% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 30.1%
Monterrey 44.75%
Draw 25.14%
| Toluca | Draw | Monterrey |
| 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.1% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 7.53% 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.75% |
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2021 1.06am
Monterrey
2-0
Toluca
Cristante (33'), Ortega (40'), Rigonato Rodrigues (86'), Pardo (90+3'), Lopez (90+4')
Jul 29, 2020 1am
Monterrey
3-1
Toluca
Medina (46')
Sauro (19'), Cisneros (75')
Sauro (19'), Cisneros (75')
Feb 29, 2020 1am
