MX23RW : Thursday, July 4 23:50:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Nov 1, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
0 - 1
Puebla


Araujo (31'), Ruiz (76'), Baeza (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (78' pen.)
de Buen (45'), Baltazar (89')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, October 29 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Puebla
Sunday, October 29 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 55.56%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawPuebla
55.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 20.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.47% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.84% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.93% (0.064999999999998 0.06)34.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.06% (0.073 0.07)55.94% (-0.073 -0.07)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (0.021999999999991 0.02)12.35% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.83% (0.042999999999999 0.04)38.17% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.045000000000002 0.05)27.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (0.059000000000005 0.06)62.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 55.56%
    Puebla 23.47%
    Draw 20.98%
TolucaDrawPuebla
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 55.56%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.98%
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 23.47%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 14
Puebla
1-2
Toluca
Waller (75')
Lopez (8'), Volpi (15' pen.)
Aug 3, 2022 2am
Gameweek 16
Toluca
1-1
Puebla
Mosquera (83')
Fernandez (17')
Apr 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Toluca
2-1
Puebla
Castaneda (19'), Huerta (45')
Ortega (47'), Baeza (75'), Sierra (78'), Garcia (81'), Sanvezzo (90+5')
Reyes (45+3')
Robles (39'), Barragan (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 1am
Gameweek 17
Puebla
1-0
Toluca
Tabo (60' pen.)
Mar 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 11
Toluca
4-4
Puebla
Estrada (32', 87'), Canelo (53' pen.), Rigonato Rodrigues (77')
Ortega (18'), Baeza (46'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+3')
Ormeno (57' pen.), Segovia (60'), Aguilar (86'), Alvarez (89')
Gularte (30'), Larcamon (79')
Gularte (51')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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