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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2023 at 12.20am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
1 - 1
Guadalajara

Lopez (62')
Raul (42'), Mosquera (80'), Navarro (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marin (69')
Sepulveda (14'), Paunovic (15'), Mozo (54'), Raul Rangel Aguilar (74')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 America
Sunday, September 24 at 7pm in Liga MX

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-3 Mazatlan
Wednesday, September 27 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawCD Guadalajara
41.53% (0.435 0.44) 24.26% (-0.161 -0.16) 34.2% (-0.275 -0.27)
Both teams to score 59.98% (0.5 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.41% (0.683 0.68)42.59% (-0.682 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35% (0.677 0.68)64.99% (-0.67700000000001 -0.68)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.48999999999999 0.49)20.65% (-0.492 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (0.768 0.77)53.23% (-0.767 -0.77)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (0.16499999999999 0.16)24.4% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18% (0.231 0.23)58.81% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 41.53%
    CD Guadalajara 34.2%
    Draw 24.26%
TolucaDrawCD Guadalajara
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.091 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.2%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 3
Guadalajara
1-2
Toluca
Huerta (31' og.)
Gonzalez (60'), Ruiz (84')
Sep 4, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Toluca
0-0
Guadalajara
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Gameweek 13
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Fernandez (90+7')
Huerta (19'), Gonzalez (35'), Castaneda (90+5')
Juan Macias (68')
Olivas (17'), Brizuela (29'), Juan Macias (90+1')
Cisneros (24')
Oct 17, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 13
Guadalajara
2-0
Toluca
Huerta (45+6'), Cisneros (90+5')
Sepulveda (49'), Cisneros (55'), Huerta (57'), Uriel (77')

Baeza (41'), Sambueza (44')
Jan 16, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 2
Guadalajara
1-1
Toluca
Molina (23')
Sanchez (51')
Castaneda (25')
Triverio (66'), Rigonato Rodrigues (76'), Torres (79')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Spain
vs.
France
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Netherlands
vs.
England
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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