Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Tigres2 - 2Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-3 Tigres
Sunday, October 1 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Sunday, October 1 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Pachuca vs. Tigres
Sunday, October 8 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, October 8 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara
Monday, October 2 at 12.20am in Liga MX
Monday, October 2 at 12.20am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. Queretaro
Sunday, October 8 at 7pm in Liga MX
Sunday, October 8 at 7pm in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Toluca |
54.06% ( -0.36) | 22.56% ( 0.19) | 23.38% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
