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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Montpellier
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
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Ligue 1
Angers
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin
Montpellier

Angers
2 - 0
Montpellier

Mangani (45+1' pen.), Pereira Lage (67')
Fulgini (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Makouana (30'), Oyongo (44'), Germain (54'), Ferri (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Angers and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angers

Last Six:
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Angers 2-1 Montpellier HSC

 This game is a tricky one to call with both sides having so little to play for. However, the visitors have the worse form and are feeling their key absences so we are backing a narrow home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.

Result
AngersDrawMontpellier HSC
54.59% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 23.66% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.18% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)48.37% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)70.51% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)17.6% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)48.18% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)73.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Angers 54.59%
    Montpellier HSC 21.74%
    Draw 23.66%
AngersDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 54.59%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.74%

How you voted: Angers vs Montpellier

Angers
70.7%
Draw
19.5%
Montpellier HSC
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
4-1
Angers
Savanier (14'), Cozza (30'), Ristic (51'), Mavididi (76')
Sambia (48')
Pereira Lage (45+1')
Boufal (13')
Apr 4, 2021 12pm
Angers
1-1
Montpellier
Bahoken (72')
Capelle (49')
Mavididi (47')
Sambia (30')
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Montpellier
4-1
Angers
Souquet (18'), Delort (43', 60'), Mollet (86')
Congre (16'), Delort (33'), Souquet (41'), Cozza (66')
Bahoken (25')
Ebosse (11'), Bahoken (56'), Pavlovic (62'), S (62')
Feb 22, 2020 7pm
Angers
1-0
Montpellier
Bahoken (68')
Bamba (32'), Doumbia (40'), Pavlovic (64'), Capelle (81')

Delort (83'), Oyongo (90')
Oct 26, 2019 7pm
Montpellier
0-0
Angers

Savanier (59'), Mollet (93')

Traore (49'), Capelle (75'), Pereira Lage (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG20155054193550
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco20114536241237
4Lille2098333201335
5Nice1996438251333
6Lens209652518733
7Lyon198653023730
8Brest2091103136-528
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre206592733-623
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2053121943-2418
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier2043132046-2615
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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