Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier4 - 1Angers
We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Angers
Angers appear to be a little short on confidence right now and are lacking that quality in the final third, while their track record versus Montpellier in recent years has not been good, winning only one of their previous seven road fixtures against them. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
| 45.01% | 25.96% | 29.03% |
| Both teams to score 52.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
