Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
69.06% | 18.54% | 12.4% |
Both teams to score 49.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.68% | 42.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.27% | 64.72% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.85% | 11.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.39% | 35.61% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.35% | 44.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.35% | 80.65% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 11.97% 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 7.06% 4-0 @ 4.8% 4-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.85% 5-0 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.78% Total : 69.05% | 1-1 @ 8.81% 0-0 @ 4.98% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.86% Total : 18.54% | 0-1 @ 4.01% 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-2 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 27 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 79 | 26 | 53 | 71 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 50 |
3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Nice | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Lille | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 47 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 46 |
7 | Lyon | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 45 |
8 | Brest | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Lens | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Auxerre | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
11 | Toulouse | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 34 |
12 | Rennes | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 32 |
13 | NantesNantes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 27 |
14 | Angers | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 27 |
15 | Reims | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 26 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 24 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 63 | -35 | 23 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 27 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |