Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.