Inconsistency is threatening to derail Monaco's season and their hopes of qualifying for the Champions League again next season, as not much can be read into their recent 7-1 win over Nantes, due to the man advantage they enjoyed for most of the game.
The midweek cup win should give Reims a lift, and even though their league form has been dismal in 2025, the tide will turn eventually, and they could start that against a wounded Monaco.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Reims had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
-0.88) 
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