Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica3 - 3Monaco
FT(HT: 1-1)
We said: Benfica 2-2 Monaco (Benfica win 3-2 on aggregate)
All-out attack must be the formula for Monaco if they are to keep their Champions League dream alive, and the Biereth-inspired visitors should sense an opportunity against their depleted hosts. However, Hutter has also been left incredibly short in midfield for the second leg, and Benfica should therefore be able to fight fire with fire and progress after an end-to-end battle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.58%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Monaco |
57.58% ( 3.59) | 20.44% ( -1.26) | 21.98% ( -2.33) |
| Both teams to score 63.76% ( 1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.71% ( 3.34) | 33.29% ( -3.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.94% ( 3.73) | 55.06% ( -3.73) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.47% ( 2.14) | 11.53% ( -2.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.56% ( 4.43) | 36.44% ( -4.42) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( -0) | 27.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.44% ( -0.01) | 63.56% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 57.58%
Monaco 21.98%
Draw 20.44%
| Benfica | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.64)3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.5)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.54)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.43)4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.35)5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.34)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.27)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.22)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.58% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.82) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.6)3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.44% | 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.52) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.76)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.49)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.48% Total : 21.98% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Monaco
Benfica
74.1%Draw
20.9%Monaco
5.1%158
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2024 8pm
League Stage
Monaco
2-3
Benfica
Nov 4, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Benfica
1-0
Monaco
Oct 22, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Monaco
0-0
Benfica
