We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-2 Monaco
This PSG side is almost unrecognisable to the one that was struggling to string two results together earlier in the campaign, and they will fancy themselves at extending their unbeaten run in the league this season here, especially after recording two wins over Monaco in the last six weeks.
However, Monaco are the only club to have won more than 40 games against PSG in their history (48), and have scored on 12 of their last 13 trips to the Parc des Princes, so they should certainly offer a stern test, even if they do just fall short.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 3-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
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