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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Monaco

Lille
2 - 1
Monaco

Arnar Haraldsson (22', 42')
Andre (73'), David (73'), Fernandez Pardo (89'), Alexsandro (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Minamino (45+1')
Zakaria (19'), Diatta (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-2 Lille
Sunday, February 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Benfica 3-3 Monaco
Tuesday, February 18 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lille 1-1 Monaco

 Lille are simply not winning enough games, and that has resulted in them dropping out of the top four, but they could do those hopes the world of good by claiming victory here. Monaco will be tough opponents though, and despite having a below-par away record, Hutter's side will make this competitive, in a game that is as tough to call as the race for the top four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.02% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawMonaco
57.2% (-0.156 -0.16) 20.78% (0.126 0.13) 22.02% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 62.52% (-0.425 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.07% (-0.57599999999999 -0.58)34.92% (0.578 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.09% (-0.645 -0.65)56.9% (0.649 0.65)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.84% (-0.226 -0.23)12.15% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.23% (-0.481 -0.48)37.77% (0.482 0.48)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-0.3 -0.3)28.83% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (-0.377 -0.38)64.68% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Lille 57.2%
    Monaco 22.02%
    Draw 20.78%
LilleDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.58% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 57.2%
1-1 @ 9.19% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.5% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.78%
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 22.02%

How you voted: Lille vs Monaco

Lille
52.6%
Draw
36.8%
Monaco
10.5%
38
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Monaco
0-0
Lille
Teze (41')
Teze (61')
Bouaddi (11'), Meunier (34'), Alexsandro (44'), Sahraoui (70'), Bayo (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Monaco
1-0
Lille
Fofana (61')
Akliouche (38')

David (54'), Bouaddi (66')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
2-0
Monaco
Cavaleiro (32'), Diakite (42')
Yazici (67')

Singo (48'), Zakaria (50')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 35
Monaco
0-0
Lille
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Lille
4-3
Monaco
Alexsandro (22'), Cabella (39', 62'), Bamba (71')
Henrique (34'), Disasi (44'), Ben Yedder (53')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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