Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco4 - 2Auxerre
We said: Monaco 3-1 Auxerre
Auxerre look overwhelmed away from home and too reliant on Traore, so we expect to see the attacking depth of Monaco shine through and earn them maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Auxerre |
54.79% ( 0.96) | 21.99% ( -0.11) | 23.21% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.42) | 39.26% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( -0.44) | 61.6% ( 0.44) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( 0.16) | 14.31% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.86% ( 0.32) | 42.13% ( -0.32) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.93) | 30.26% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.57% ( -1.12) | 66.43% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Monaco 54.8%
Auxerre 23.21%
Draw 21.99%
| Monaco | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.8% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 23.21% |
How you voted: Monaco vs Auxerre
Monaco
90.0%Draw
7.5%Auxerre
2.5%40
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Monaco
3-2
Auxerre
Dec 28, 2022 4pm
