Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco3 - 2Rennes
We said: Monaco 1-0 Rennes
Rennes's last six defeats have all been by a single goal, and their last nine losses to Monaco have all come via the same margin, and they are set to be edged out again given their dismal recent form. Monaco's midweek win could be the tonic for them to return to form domestically, and home results have been largely excellent for Hutter's men this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
38.63% ( -0.15) | 24.63% ( 0) | 36.74% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.06% ( -0.01) | 43.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( -0.01) | 66.32% ( 0.01) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( -0.08) | 22.64% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.73% ( -0.12) | 56.27% ( 0.12) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( 0.07) | 23.62% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.29% ( 0.1) | 57.71% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Monaco 38.63%
Rennes 36.74%
Draw 24.63%
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 36.74% |
How you voted: Monaco vs Rennes
Monaco
75.0%Draw
12.5%Rennes
12.5%24
Head to Head
