Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Dec 11, 2021 at 4pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
0 - 4
Montpellier

Herelle (62'), Magnetti (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wahi (45+1'), Mavididi (47'), Sambia (60'), Germain (85')
Ferri (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brest 2-2 Montpellier HSC

With both teams high on confidence and both managers well-versed in the ways of the opposition, this game is a tricky one to call. It could go either way but we are backing a high-scoring draw considering both sides have scored 25 this season and conceded a fair few too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Montpellier HSC
49.95%	25.25%	24.8%

Both teams to score 50.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.13%

51.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.38%

73.62%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22%

20.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.57%

53.43%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.22%

35.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.45%

72.55%

Score Analysis

Brest 49.94%

Montpellier HSC 24.8%

Draw 25.25%

Brest	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.55% Total : 49.94%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.94% Total : 24.8%