We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Clermont
Clermont always have a source of goals when Bayo is on the pitch, but the rest of their attack is depleted, and they hardly have the wind in their sails ahead of this fixture.
A Dall'Oglio side will relish the opportunity for a goal-laden performance against one of the league's leakiest defences, so we can only back Montpellier to prevail comfortably.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montpellier HSC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Montpellier HSC.