Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montpellier HSC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Montpellier HSC.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
42.26% | 25.31% | 32.43% |
Both teams to score 55.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.15% | 47.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.97% | 70.03% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% | 22.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.86% | 56.15% |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% | 27.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.37% | 63.64% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.26% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |