Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Brest |
58.87% | 22.35% | 18.77% |
Both teams to score 51.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3% | 46.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% | 68.96% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.48% | 15.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.57% | 44.43% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.22% | 38.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.48% | 75.52% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.21% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 6.15% 4-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.87% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.7% 1-2 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.28% Total : 18.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |