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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 4, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Brest logo

Marseille
1 - 2
Brest

Gerson (29')
Kamara (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Faivre (53' pen.), Honorat (70')
Pierre-Gabriel (90+2'), Cardona (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Marseille 1-0 Brest

 You have to be good to be lucky but also lucky to be good, and Brest were very fortunate to come away with all three points versus Les Verts on Wednesday as Saint-Etienne hit the woodwork twice in the final couple of minutes, and they got a break on the penalty decision in a game where they did not create a lot of opportunities. This could be a match a keep away for Marseille, who are beginning to play up to their potential, and even though they have not scored a lot in recent games, the quality is there for them to win this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawBrest
58.87%22.35%18.77%
Both teams to score 51.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3%46.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04%68.96%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48%15.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57%44.43%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.22%38.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.48%75.52%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 58.87%
    Brest 18.77%
    Draw 22.35%
MarseilleDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 6.15%
4-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.13%
5-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 58.87%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 4.69%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.7%
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 18.77%

How you voted: Marseille vs Brest

Marseille
73.6%
Draw
17.0%
Brest
9.4%
53
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
3-1
Brest
Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')
Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')
> Preview
Aug 30, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 2
Brest
2-3
Marseille
Faivre (45+1'), Charbonnier (89')
Pierre-Gabriel (84'), Magnetti (90')
Thauvin (20'), Caleta-Car (27', 80')
Kamara (8'), Amavi (30'), Radonjic (45+3'), Balerdi (61')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 31
Brest
P-P
Marseille
Nov 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Marseille
2-1
Brest
Sarr (56'), Radonjic (89')
Cardona (88')
Diallo (20'), Mendy (98')
Apr 20, 2013 4pm
Marseille
1-0
Brest
Cheyrou (45')
Ayew (86')

Coulibaly (44'), Mendy (70')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille16103337191833
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1677226161028
5Lyon168442820828
6Nice1676331211027
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Auxerre166372426-221
10StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
11Reims165562121020
12Brest166192429-519
13Rennes165292223-117
14Angers164481626-1016
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
16NantesNantes163671825-715
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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