MX23RW : Monday, November 25 09:16:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 4, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Brest logo

Marseille
1 - 2
Brest

Gerson (29')
Kamara (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Faivre (53' pen.), Honorat (70')
Pierre-Gabriel (90+2'), Cardona (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Marseille 1-0 Brest

You have to be good to be lucky but also lucky to be good, and Brest were very fortunate to come away with all three points versus Les Verts on Wednesday as Saint-Etienne hit the woodwork twice in the final couple of minutes, and they got a break on the penalty decision in a game where they did not create a lot of opportunities. This could be a match a keep away for Marseille, who are beginning to play up to their potential, and even though they have not scored a lot in recent games, the quality is there for them to win this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawBrest
58.87%22.35%18.77%
Both teams to score 51.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3%46.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04%68.96%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48%15.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57%44.43%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.22%38.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.48%75.52%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 58.87%
    Brest 18.77%
    Draw 22.35%
MarseilleDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 6.15%
4-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.13%
5-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 58.87%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 4.69%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.7%
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 18.77%

How you voted: Marseille vs Brest

Marseille
73.6%
Draw
17.0%
Brest
9.4%
53
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
3-1
Brest
Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')
Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')
Aug 30, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 2
Brest
2-3
Marseille
Faivre (45+1'), Charbonnier (89')
Pierre-Gabriel (84'), Magnetti (90')
Thauvin (20'), Caleta-Car (27', 80')
Kamara (8'), Amavi (30'), Radonjic (45+3'), Balerdi (61')
Apr 5, 2020 8pm
Nov 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Marseille
2-1
Brest
Sarr (56'), Radonjic (89')
Cardona (88')
Diallo (20'), Mendy (98')
Apr 20, 2013 4pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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