Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Nov 28, 2021 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 1
Lyon

Ferri (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Paqueta (17')
Slimani (29'), Caqueret (40'), Boateng (45'), Palmieri (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Lyon

Montpellier beat Lyon twice last season, but look a different prospect with some important absentees - now including their captain. The visitors will have some fresh legs after rotating during the week and we are backing them to secure a narrow away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lyon
32.7%	23.08%	44.22%

Both teams to score 63.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.67%

37.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.46%

59.55%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24%

22.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.55%

56.45%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66%

17.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.27%

47.74%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 32.7%

Lyon 44.22%

Draw 23.07%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 5.84% 2-0 @ 4.33% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.7%	1-1 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.07%	1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.1% Total : 44.22%