Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Marseille |
23.74% ( -0.01) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 51.05% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.92% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.41% ( 0.09) | 52.59% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.76% ( 0.08) | 74.24% ( -0.08) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.88% ( 0.04) | 37.12% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.09% ( 0.04) | 73.91% ( -0.04) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( 0.05) | 20.61% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.84% ( 0.08) | 53.16% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.74% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 51.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |