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Ligue 1
Metz logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Clermont Foot

Metz
1 - 0
Clermont

Mikautadze (33' pen.)
Jean Jacques (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Matsima (45'), Borges (54'), Carpini (60'), Gastien (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Clermont

All competitions
Last Game: Clermont 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 1-1 Clermont

 Metz will have taken plenty of confidence from returning to winning ways last weekend, and they will be viewing this match as the perfect opportunity to cut the gap to the teams ahead of them. However, Clermont should not be underestimated given their high performance levels last season, especially as this game could be their last chance saloon in terms of saving themselves from relegation. We can envisage a nervy draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.

Result
MetzDrawClermont
46.69% (-0.762 -0.76) 26.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 26.58% (0.742 0.74)
Both teams to score 48.1% (0.514 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.75% (0.375 0.38)56.25% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71% (0.303 0.3)77.29% (-0.298 -0.3)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (-0.193 -0.19)24.08% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)58.36% (0.285 0.28)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (0.838 0.84)36.65% (-0.833 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (0.831 0.83)73.44% (-0.82599999999999 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Metz 46.69%
    Clermont 26.58%
    Draw 26.73%
MetzDrawClermont
1-0 @ 12.56% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.58%

How you voted: Metz vs Clermont

Metz
47.8%
Draw
34.8%
Clermont
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 64
Metz
1-1
Clermont
 Clermont win 3-1 on penalties
Sane (22')
Allevinah (48')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
Clermont
0-1
Metz

Cham (58')
Mikautadze (69')
Sabaly (83')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Metz
1-1
Clermont
De Preville (24')
Bronn (72')
Niane (40')
Dossou (37')
Ogier (84')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 4
Clermont
2-2
Metz
Niakate (35' og.), Rashani (58')
Ogier (40')
Niane (10' pen.), Desmas (29' og.)
Sarr (30'), Alakouch (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 21
Metz
1-2
Clermont
Maiga (58')
Cohade (45')
Aye (23'), Honorat (77')
Gastien (42'), N'Diaye (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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