Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
We said: Clermont 1-0 Troyes
Given the hosts' record at both ends of the pitch, we anticipate a low-scoring encounter on Sunday which could be decided by a singular goal.
With a degree of confidence following their last two results, Clermont should have enough to find that goal, and we back them to see out a narrow victory on home turf.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 47.24% . A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 26.16% .
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (9.03%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%) , while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (8.73%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood .
Result Clermont Draw Troyes 47.24% ( 3.12) 26.6% ( -0.98) 26.16% ( -2.14)
Both teams to score 48.15% ( 1.3)
43.97% ( 2.39) 56.03% ( -2.39)
22.89% ( 1.9) 77.11% ( -1.9)
76.27% ( 2.6) 23.72% ( -2.6)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.14% ( 3.6) 57.86% ( -3.6)
63.12% ( -0.47) 36.88% ( 0.47)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.34% ( -0.47) 73.66% ( 0.47)
Clermont 47.23%
Troyes 26.16%
Draw 26.59%
Clermont Draw Troyes 1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.23% 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.59% 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.96) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.79% Total : 26.16%
How you voted: Clermont vs Troyes
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rhs 2.0
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