MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 13:07:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Troyes

Lens
1 - 0
Troyes

Danso (39')
Poreba (40'), Cabot (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tardieu (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lens
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-0 Troyes

Troyes will aim to frustrate Lens, who may have to remain patient in order to gain a narrow victory. With Lens continuing on an upwards trajectory under Haise, more sides are likely to defend deeper against them, which is something that they must learn to overcome if they wish to remain towards the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawTroyes
64.72% (0.179 0.18) 20.22% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09) 15.06% (-0.089 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (0.2 0.2)43.87% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (0.196 0.2)66.25% (-0.193 -0.19)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (0.113 0.11)12.8% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89% (0.229 0.23)39.11% (-0.226 -0.23)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)41.65% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.86%78.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lens 64.71%
    Troyes 15.06%
    Draw 20.22%
LensDrawTroyes
2-0 @ 11.26%
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.97% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 64.71%
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.22%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.06%

How you voted: Lens vs Troyes

Lens
82.7%
Draw
13.5%
Troyes
3.8%
104
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Troyes
1-3
Lens
Biancone (14')
Kabore (9')
Danso (42'), Kalimuendo (45'), Clauss (71')
Medina (19'), Frankowski (78')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Lens
4-0
Troyes
Kalimuendo (14'), Said (30'), Clauss (35'), Frankowski (60')
Ganago (69')

Batlles (15'), Rodrigues (74')
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
Lens
1-0
Troyes
Jean (65')
Haidara (48'), Michelin (90')

Kouame (19'), El Hajjam (45')
Kouame (36')
Aug 24, 2019 2pm
Troyes
2-0
Lens
Kouyate (45'), Pintor (83')
Souare (16'), Giraudon (18'), Tardieu (61'), Pintor (93')

Sotoca (46')
Aug 13, 2019 8.05pm
Troyes
1-2
Lens
Kouyate (10')
Salmier (34'), Mambo (74'), Giraudon (77'), Kouyate (89')
Sene (75'), Banza (84')
Perez (31'), Teka (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG22175059203956
2Marseille22144450262446
3MonacoMonaco22124644291540
4Nice21107441261537
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest22102103538-332
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse227692325-227
11Auxerre226793137-625
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes224992539-1421
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2253142050-3018
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!