Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Troyes in this match.