Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 13.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.