Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Angers |
64.19% ( 4.05) | 20.21% ( -1.4) | 15.6% ( -2.65) |
Both teams to score 52.2% ( -0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.23% ( 1.55) | 42.77% ( -1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.83% ( 1.52) | 65.17% ( -1.53) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.39% ( 1.7) | 12.61% ( -1.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.27% ( 3.41) | 38.73% ( -3.41) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.74% ( -2.28) | 40.26% ( 2.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.11% ( -2.14) | 76.89% ( 2.14) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Angers |
2-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.86) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.39) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.65) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.35) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.25) Other @ 3.33% Total : 64.18% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.66) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.21% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.64) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.28) Other @ 1.84% Total : 15.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |