Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
48.64% ( -0.14) | 24.4% ( 0.06) | 26.96% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.33% ( -0.22) | 46.67% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.06% ( -0.2) | 68.94% ( 0.2) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( -0.14) | 19.25% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% ( -0.24) | 50.97% ( 0.23) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.78% ( -0.06) | 31.22% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.44% ( -0.06) | 67.56% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | MonacoMonaco | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 17 |
3 | Marseille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
4 | Reims | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Lens | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 |
8 | Lyon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
9 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
10 | NantesNantes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brest | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
12 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 7 |
14 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
16 | Toulouse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |