Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille5 - 2Angers
We said: Marseille 2-0 Angers
Whilst their recent form against Angers is surprisingly poor, the extra quality in the Marseille squad should see them return to winning ways, so we are backing them for a comfortable 2-0 victory on Friday evening. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.72%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Angers |
| 65.39% | 21.66% | 12.94% |
| Both teams to score 41.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
