Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
