We said: Lille 2-0 Angers
Despite having one eye on their trip to the Czech capital in midweek, Lille's rotated side should still be strong enough to beat an unfancied Angers side. While the current squad is unlikely to falter in the same fashion as their predecessors from 2022-23, Angers are likely going to find it tough here, and starting with two defeats does not bode well for the rest of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Angers had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Angers |
57.55% ( 1.53) | 22.48% ( -0.49) | 19.98% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.47% ( 0.74) | 45.53% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.14% ( 0.7) | 67.86% ( -0.69) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.44% ( 0.78) | 15.56% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.49% ( 1.43) | 44.51% ( -1.43) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( -0.63) | 36.82% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.4% ( -0.64) | 73.6% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.43% Total : 57.54% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.47% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.98% |
