Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Sep 30, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Jean Bouin

Angers
0 - 3
Marseille

FT(HT: 0-1)

Clauss (35'), Suarez Charris (50'), Gerson (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Angers and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angers

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 0-1 Angers
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Unless Marseille also go a man down within the first 10 seconds, Angers' momentum should be halted by the away-day specialists, and the international break came at a more ideal time for Tudor rather than Baticle. Les Olympiens have started the new domestic season as they mean to go on, whereas Angers are still prone to a leaky defensive display and could be picked off by the visitors' wealth of attacking options on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Angers had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Angers	Draw	Marseille
24.89% ( -0.03)	25.39% ( 0)	49.71% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.55% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.66% (

-0.03)

52.33% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.97% (

-0.03)

74.02% (

0.03)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.05% (

-0.05)

35.95% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.27% (

-0.05)

72.73% (

0.05)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

21.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12% (

53.88%

Score Analysis

Angers 24.89%

Marseille 49.71%

Draw 25.38%

Angers	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 7.75% 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.89%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 49.71%