Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Metz |
60.28% | 22.09% | 17.63% |
Both teams to score 50.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.64% | 47.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.42% | 69.58% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.72% | 15.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.02% | 43.98% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.51% | 40.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.9% | 77.1% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 11.62% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.33% Total : 60.27% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.59% 1-2 @ 4.75% 0-2 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |