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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Marseille

St Etienne
2 - 4
Marseille

Bouanga (9'), Gourna-Douath (86')
Mangala (45+1'), Thioub (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Payet (45+1' pen.), Kolodziejczak (60' og.), Dieng (68' pen.), Harit (73')
Targhalline (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

We said: Saint-Etienne 1-2 Marseille

Given the major improvement enjoyed by the hosts, we predict an interesting encounter on Saturday and would not be surprised to see Dupraz's men come away with a result. On the whole, though, we just give Les Olympiens the edge given the impressive quality throughout their squad and back them to return home with a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawMarseille
25.98%25.14%48.88%
Both teams to score 52.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52%50.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59%72.41%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98%34.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29%70.71%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33%20.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.74%53.26%
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 25.99%
    Marseille 48.87%
    Draw 25.13%
Saint-EtienneDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.58%
2-1 @ 6.44%
2-0 @ 4.09%
3-1 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 25.99%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 11.08%
1-2 @ 9.42%
0-2 @ 8.74%
1-3 @ 4.95%
0-3 @ 4.59%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.95%
0-4 @ 1.81%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 48.87%

How you voted: St Etienne vs Marseille

Saint-Etienne
15.6%
Draw
13.3%
Marseille
71.1%
45
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 8pm
Marseille
3-1
St Etienne
Guendouzi (23'), Gerson (51'), Under (68')
Gueye (87')
Kolodziejczak (32')
Khazri (42'), Macon (49'), Camara (61')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Sep 17, 2020 8pm
Marseille
0-2
St Etienne

Sakai (30'), Sanson (45+1')
Hamouma (6'), Bouanga (75')
Macon (21'), Gourna-Douath (85')
Feb 5, 2020 8.15pm
St Etienne
0-2
Marseille

Fofana (61'), Khazri (65')
Payet (7'), Radonjic (85')
Amavi (25'), Radonjic (49'), Rongier (57'), Ali Mohamed (65')
Sep 1, 2019 8pm
Marseille
1-0
St Etienne
Benedetto (33')
Sanson (60'), Amavi (66'), Lopez (87'), Khaoui (88'), Strootman (92')

Moukoudi (14'), Perrin (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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