Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 6, 2022 at 2pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
2 - 0
Montpellier

Kolo (69'), Geubbels (90+2')
Castelletto (30')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ristic (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Nantes
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Nantes vs. St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lyon	37	14	58
9	Nantes	37	7	54
10	Lille	37	0	54

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Montpellier 0-4 PSG
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Angers vs. Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Reims	37	0	46
13	Montpellier HSC	37	-10	43
14	Angers	37	-13	38

We said: Nantes 2-1 Montpellier HSC

Considering the difference in form between the two teams, Nantes can be considered the favourites to come out on top this weekend, though Montpellier cannot be underestimated and will be fired up as they attempt to turn their fortunes around. Nantes failed to score in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but we can see them securing a narrow victory on home soil this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
53.84%	24.41%	21.75%

Both teams to score 49.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.63%

51.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81%

73.19%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.98%

19.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.42%

50.57%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.66%

38.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.9%

75.09%

Score Analysis

Nantes 53.83%

Montpellier HSC 21.75%

Draw 24.41%

Nantes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.83%	1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 6.99% 1-2 @ 5.56% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.75%