Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
58.11% ( 0.07) | 22.92% ( -0) | 18.97% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.23% ( -0.09) | 48.77% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.13% ( -0.08) | 70.87% ( 0.08) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% ( -0.01) | 16.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.79% ( -0.02) | 46.21% ( 0.01) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.23% ( -0.13) | 39.77% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.56% ( -0.12) | 76.44% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.11% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |