Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
63.76% (![]() | 20.22% (![]() | 16.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.01% (![]() | 41.99% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.6% | 64.4% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.5% | 12.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.5% (![]() | 38.49% (![]() |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.75% (![]() | 39.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.04% (![]() | 75.96% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 10.6% 1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-2 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.75% | 1-1 @ 9.54% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.22% | 0-1 @ 4.59% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |