Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
50.06% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() | 25.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.5% (![]() | 47.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.29% | 69.71% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% (![]() | 19.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.43% (![]() | 50.57% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% (![]() | 32.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.7% (![]() | 69.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |