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Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Marseille

Nantes
0 - 2
Marseille


Traore (13'), Mollet (27'), Centonze (45+2'), Simon (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
Malinovskyi (17'), Balerdi (79'), Lopez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 0-1 Marseille

 Nantes continued their perfect defensive record in 2023 on the weekend with a stalemate at Clermont Foot, but now face a Marseille team who have scored in each of their last 12 matches in all competitions. Tudor's side know that they cannot afford to drop points in successive fixtures if they are to challenge PSG and Lens for the title this season, and we expect them to earn maximum points at Stade de la Beaujoire on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
21.03% (0.433 0.43) 23.57% (0.357 0.36) 55.4% (-0.79 -0.79)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.475 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (-0.951 -0.95)48.81% (0.951 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (-0.869 -0.87)70.9% (0.869 0.87)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (-0.103 -0.1)37.61% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)74.39% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (-0.626 -0.63)17.47% (0.626 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.05% (-1.104 -1.1)47.94% (1.104 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 21.03%
    Marseille 55.4%
    Draw 23.56%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 5.48% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.14% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 21.03%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.82% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.4%

How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes
13.6%
Draw
15.9%
Marseille
70.5%
88
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
Feb 20, 2021 4pm
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')
Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Nantes
Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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