Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Nice had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Nice |
62.08% ( -0.06) | 20.72% ( 0.02) | 17.19% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.03% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.89% ( -0.05) | 42.11% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.49% ( -0.05) | 64.51% ( 0.05) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.98% ( -0.04) | 13.02% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.44% ( -0.07) | 39.56% ( 0.07) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.12% ( 0.01) | 37.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.35% ( 0.01) | 74.66% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Nice |
2-0 @ 10.25% 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 62.08% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.73% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |