Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Jan 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 1
Monaco

Sanchez (47')
Veretout (66'), Rongier (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Veretout (17' og.)
Diatta (54'), Golovin (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Rennes
Friday, January 20 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 7-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, January 15 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both teams are coming off strong showings last weekend for different reasons, and as good as Marseille have been at home, Les Monegasques have fared well on the road over this campaign, with only one domestic defeat all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Monaco
49.92% ( 0.03)	24.23% ( 0.01)	25.85% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.21% (

-0.09)

46.79% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.95% (

-0.09)

69.05% (

0.09)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.21% (

-0.03)

18.79% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.8% (

-0.04)

50.2% (

0.05)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.84% (

-0.08)

32.16% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.36% (

-0.09)

68.64% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Marseille 49.91%

Monaco 25.85%

Draw 24.23%

Marseille	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.91%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 25.85%