Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
