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Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Mar 21, 2021 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Lorient logo

Nantes
1 - 1
Lorient

Kolo (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lauriente (87')
Lauriente (24')

Preview: Nantes vs. Lorient - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Nantes take on Lorient in Ligue 1 on Sunday in a potentially pivotal clash at the bottom of the table.

Seventeenth-placed Lorient currently sit one point above Nantes, meaning that the hosts can jump outside of the relegation zone with a victory.


Match preview

Antoine Kombouare, now in charge of Nantes, pictured in 2019© Reuters

Nantes' form has certainly improved since replacing former France manager Raymond Domenech with Antoine Kombouare in February, with the 57-year-old guiding his side to a miraculous 2-1 win at Paris Saint-Germain last weekend.

Julian Draxler had provided the hosts with the lead heading into the half-time interval after a fine sweeping finish into the far corner, but a combination of complacency and lethargy from PSG helped Nantes come from behind to claim a crucial three points.

Randal Kolo levelled the proceedings after Kylian Mbappe's sloppy pass inside allowed the forward to square up Marquinhos one-on-one before smashing the ball into the roof of the net, with Kolo racing in behind PSG's defence 12 minutes later before unselfishly squaring the ball for Moses Simon to tap home and prove to be the match winner on the day.

The shock result gives Nantes real optimism of escaping relegation this season, but they must replicate their intensity against a Lorient side who have improved of late themselves.

Lorient manager Christophe Pelissier pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Indeed, having been promoted as Ligue 2 champions last season, this campaign is all about survival for Lorient.

Sixteen points from their last 10 matches - including a fine win against PSG themselves - has given Christophe Pelissier's side an excellent chance of doing so, with Lorient fans desperate to see their club re-establish themselves as a Ligue 1 club once again, having spent 11 consecutive seasons in France's top flight between 2006 and 2017.

Having only lost two of their last 10 matches, Lorient are certainly proving tough to beat at the moment, drawing their last two matches 1-1. However, Pelissier may be mildly disappointed with only two points returned from those games, having comfortably out-shot both Montpellier and Nice.

The 55-year-old will be demanding his players to be more clinical ahead of a crucial six-pointer against Nantes, with victory potentially moving them four points clear of the relegation zone with only eight league games remaining.

Nantes Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W

Nantes form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W

Lorient Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D

Lorient form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D


Team News

Nantes players in a team huddle before the clash with Monaco on September 13, 2020© Reuters

Nantes are unlikely to have Sebastien Corchia, Dennis Appiah or Fabio Da Silva return as options until after the impending international break, with the trio still recovering from injury.

Kombouare is unlikely to make any changes to the XI which performed superbly in their victory in Paris, with Simon, Kolo and Ludovic Blas forming a dangerous attacking triumvirate.

Lorient, meanwhile, remain without the suspended Paul Nardi after the goalkeeper's injury-time dismissal in the cup defeat to Le Puy F43 Auvergne.

Thomas Monconduit, Stephane Diarra, Jonathan Delaplace, Jeremy Morel, Thomas Fontaine, Matthieu Saunier and former Liverpool defender Tiago Ilori are all unlikely to return from injury until after the upcoming international break.

Nantes possible starting lineup:
Lafont; Castelletto, Girotto, Pallois; Coco, Chirivella, Toure, Traore; Blas, Kolo, Simon

Lorient possible starting lineup:
Dreyer; Gravillon, Laporte, Chalobah; Hergault, Le Fee, Abergel, Boisgard, Le Goff; Lauriente, Moffi


SM words green background

We say: Nantes 2-1 Lorient

Nantes should have taken huge confidence from their surprise win against the reigning champions, and we can envisage them jumping out of the relegation zone with a victory on Sunday.

They appear to have a little more firepower than Lorient at present, with Pelissier's side struggling to create clear-cut chances in recent weeks despite performing reasonably well on the whole.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Nantes vs Lorient

Nantes
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Lorient
5.0%
20
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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