Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
