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Ligue 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
PSG logo

Lyon
1 - 4
PSG

Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lyon
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Lens
Saturday, August 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain

 PSG have won six of their last eight Ligue 1 away matches, scoring two or more on each occasion while also drawing the other two, so will come in as big favourites. Blanc will not want to enter the international break with his side still in the relegation zone, but the task may be too much for a side very much out of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 0-1 (6.23%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
28.22% (1.77 1.77) 21.61% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 50.17% (-1.689 -1.69)
Both teams to score 66.56% (1.944 1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (1.873 1.87)32.61% (-1.874 -1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.72% (2.135 2.14)54.28% (-2.136 -2.14)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (2.136 2.14)23.08% (-2.137 -2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (3.035 3.04)56.91% (-3.036 -3.04)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (0.12700000000001 0.13)13.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.53% (0.256 0.26)40.46% (-0.257 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 28.22%
    Paris Saint-Germain 50.17%
    Draw 21.61%
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.206 0.21)
1-0 @ 4.56% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.307 0.31)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.292 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.22%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.237 0.24)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-3 @ 2.19% (0.215 0.22)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.578 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.609 -0.61)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 4.49% (0.179 0.18)
0-3 @ 4.18% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.25% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.113 0.11)
2-5 @ 0.9% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Lyon vs PSG

Lyon
15.4%
Draw
10.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
73.8%
65
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Mar 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 30
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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