We said: Lyon 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain
PSG have won six of their last eight Ligue 1 away matches, scoring two or more on each occasion while also drawing the other two, so will come in as big favourites. Blanc will not want to enter the international break with his side still in the relegation zone, but the task may be too much for a side very much out of form. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 0-1 (6.23%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
28.22% ( 1.77) | 21.61% ( -0.08) | 50.17% ( -1.69) |
| Both teams to score 66.56% ( 1.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.38% ( 1.87) | 32.61% ( -1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.72% ( 2.14) | 54.28% ( -2.14) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( 2.14) | 23.08% ( -2.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.08% ( 3.04) | 56.91% ( -3.04) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( 0.13) | 13.47% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.53% ( 0.26) | 40.46% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.22% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.58)0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.61)1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.36)1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.17)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.11)2-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.17% |
