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Ligue 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Brest logo

Lyon
4 - 3
Brest

Tolisso (18'), Lacazette (70'), Tagliafico (79'), Maitland-Niles (90+16' pen.)
Benrahma (57'), Tagliafico (59'), O'Brien (87'), Matic (90+10')
Tagliafico (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mounie (59'), Del Castillo (64', 67')
Brassier (17'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Locko (87'), Bizot (90+11')
Lees-Melou (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-3 Lyon
Sunday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 4-3 Metz
Sunday, April 7 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-2 Brest

 Despite failing to score in their last two Ligue 1 meetings with Brest, Lyon's seven-game undefeated run against this weekend's opponents should become eight in a potentially exciting game. The goalless game at the Groupama last year was an anomaly, as eight of the last 10 matches between these sides have ended with both sides scoring. Thus, expect another high-scoring affair on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawBrest
41.92% (-1.318 -1.32) 25.49% (-0.143 -0.14) 32.59% (1.462 1.46)
Both teams to score 55.22% (1.06 1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.43% (1.116 1.12)48.57% (-1.116 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31% (1.007 1.01)70.69% (-1.007 -1.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-0.155 -0.16)23.04% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (-0.227 -0.23)56.85% (0.227 0.23)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (1.519 1.52)28.25% (-1.519 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05% (1.883 1.88)63.95% (-1.883 -1.88)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 41.92%
    Brest 32.59%
    Draw 25.48%
LyonDrawBrest
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.488 -0.49)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.395 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.258 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.237 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.165 0.17)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.171 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.59%

How you voted: Lyon vs Brest

Lyon
42.4%
Draw
32.2%
Brest
25.4%
59
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Brest
1-0
Lyon
Mounie (87')
Lees-Melou (31'), Camara (64'), Brassier (81')

Nuamah (10')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lyon
0-0
Brest
> Preview
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Brest
2-4
Lyon
Pereira Lage (29'), Mounie (72')
Caqueret (21'), Cherki (32'), Lacazette (35' pen.), Tete (49')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Brest
2-1
Lyon
Mounie (27' pen.), Cardona (74')
Faussurier (30'), Satriano (58')
Dembele (72')
Tete (18'), Mendes (55')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 1
Lyon
1-1
Brest
Slimani (62')
Slimani (90+2')
Cardona (43')
Magnetti (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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