Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse2 - 3Lyon
We said: Toulouse 0-1 Lyon
Both sides are in decent form at the moment, but Lyon have been a little more consistent, and we believe their overall balance and momentum will enable them to collect another three points even if Lacazette is unavailable. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Lyon |
25.29% ( 0.24) | 24.47% ( 0.1) | 50.25% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
