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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Lens logo

Lyon
0 - 3
Lens

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sotoca (43'), Wahi (53' pen.), Danso (87')
Gradit (29'), Danso (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Strasbourg (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lens 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 25 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 1-1 Lens

Bumps and bruises from the Coupe de France will come into play for Lyon on Sunday, where leading marksman Lacazette is unlikely to be 100%, but in their current form, Les Gones are not to be counted out against any foe. A full week of recuperation was just what the doctor prescribed for a jaded Lens side, though, and with Haise's men stringing together an exceptional streak of defensive displays on the road, a low-scoring draw may be in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawLens
36.02% (-1.267 -1.27) 25.87% (0.219 0.22) 38.11% (1.051 1.05)
Both teams to score 54.64% (-0.797 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (-0.999 -1)49.64% (1.001 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34% (-0.901 -0.9)71.66% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (-1.185 -1.19)26.67% (1.187 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (-1.595 -1.6)61.91% (1.596 1.6)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.11999999999999 0.12)25.49% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.165 0.16)60.33% (-0.162 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 36.02%
    Lens 38.11%
    Draw 25.87%
LyonDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.02%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.272 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.403 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.296 0.3)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.144 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.11%

How you voted: Lyon vs Lens

Lyon
58.9%
Draw
26.7%
Lens
14.4%
90
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 14
Lens
3-2
Lyon
Said (26'), Frankowski (52' pen., 74')
Machado (35'), Medina (41')
Sotoca (90')
O'Brien (15', 72')
Feb 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Lacazette (23'), Cherki (64')
Machado (39')
Oct 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Lens
1-0
Lyon
Sotoca (82' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (13')
Kadewere (44')
Palmieri (70'), Dubois (84')
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Toko Ekambi (25' pen.), Aouar (41')
Paqueta (10')
Kalimuendo (61')
Sotoca (38'), Clauss (54')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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